Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 25 abril 2025

So the story goes, as told by Stephen Sigler, Nature May 1989: "The US military studied fighter planes returning from missions to try to improve their survival rate and were considering adding heavy armour to those parts of the plane that tended to show the greatest concentration of hits from enemy fire, until statisticians pointed out the fallacy of that argument. The more vulnerable parts of the plane were those with the fewest hits; planes hit there tended not to return at all. The single most vulnerable part, the pilot’s head, was without serious scar in the sample of planes that returned." It’s easy to draw correlations from what we see in front of us. But what we see usually represents just a small part of what has happened. Focusing on the evidence we can easily see at the expense of that we can’t leads to survivorship bias. To say it another way, when Bill Gates drops out of college and starts Microsoft it might seem like dropping out is a path to success for others too, but that ignores all the dropouts who didn’t create Microsofts and consequently you didn’t hear about. Silent evidence — the evidence that we don’t or can’t easily choose to consider — is a term from Nicholas Nassim Talleb. When trying to discover the veracity of the planes story I enjoyed Bill Casselman’s American Mathematical Society article on The Legend of Abraham Wald. The postscript points to some of the source behind the story including a mention of Stephen Sigler’s letter in Nature quoted above. I covered survivorship bias before but like this story so much I thought it was worth doing again.

Survivorship Bias Plane, Survivorship Bias Plane

Are you suffering from survivorship bias, Growth Mindset

Survivorship Bias Plane, Survivorship Bias Plane

Mara Averick on X: Just discovered @sketchplanations, and I love it! (note: emphasis on cognitive bias mine) #sketchnotes / X

Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations

BOxD How Bias is Degrading Your DEI Strategy, and What to Do About It

Sketchplanations - A weekly explanation in a sketch

Mara Averick on X: Just discovered @sketchplanations, and I love it! (note: emphasis on cognitive bias mine) #sketchnotes / X

7 Lessons on Survivorship Bias that Will Help You Make Better Decisions - I DONE THIS
Critical Political

Optimism bias - Sketchplanations
Why aren't your managers managing?
Recomendado para você
-
Survivor Bias In Aircraft Survivability Study: Why We Should Learn25 abril 2025
-
5 Common Mental Errors That Sway Your Decision Making25 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias - Why not everybody can win25 abril 2025
-
aviation - Does the survivorship bias airplane diagram come from25 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias: A Hidden Pitfall in Data Analysis25 abril 2025
-
Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations25 abril 2025
-
News: GTO Poker Theories: The Survivor Bias25 abril 2025
-
Missing data? Survive Survivorship Bias with Qlik - Climber25 abril 2025
-
Alex Rampell on X: Selection bias (and its cousin, survivorship25 abril 2025
-
7 Survivorship Bias Examples You See in the Real World25 abril 2025
você pode gostar
-
PDF) A Demanda pelo Voto Feminino no Brasil: Abordagem Histórica25 abril 2025
-
Demon Slayer: Entertainment District Arc Ep. 11 No Matter How25 abril 2025
-
Formula 1 announces record 24-race calendar for 2023 season25 abril 2025
-
Royalty Free Music Library on : No Strings Attached - Videomaker25 abril 2025
-
Jen 🏳️🌈 on X: Blonde haired Jill Valentine (Resident Evil 5) wallpaper made by me 💛 Use it if you'd like! #ResidentEvil #REBHFun #REBH26th #RE # JillValentine #RE5 #ResidentEvil5 #Biohazard #Biohazard5 #Horror #SurvivalHorror #25 abril 2025
-
Reshiram moves(Gen VIII) by RedDemonInferno on DeviantArt25 abril 2025
-
Demon King Daimao25 abril 2025
-
Split PDF Documents at Pages Where Page Size or Orientation Changes25 abril 2025
-
How To Be A Sniper: A Nova Guide - A Dignitas Article : r25 abril 2025
-
ASTD Handbook of Measuring and Evaluating Training25 abril 2025