Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 05 abril 2025

So the story goes, as told by Stephen Sigler, Nature May 1989: "The US military studied fighter planes returning from missions to try to improve their survival rate and were considering adding heavy armour to those parts of the plane that tended to show the greatest concentration of hits from enemy fire, until statisticians pointed out the fallacy of that argument. The more vulnerable parts of the plane were those with the fewest hits; planes hit there tended not to return at all. The single most vulnerable part, the pilot’s head, was without serious scar in the sample of planes that returned." It’s easy to draw correlations from what we see in front of us. But what we see usually represents just a small part of what has happened. Focusing on the evidence we can easily see at the expense of that we can’t leads to survivorship bias. To say it another way, when Bill Gates drops out of college and starts Microsoft it might seem like dropping out is a path to success for others too, but that ignores all the dropouts who didn’t create Microsofts and consequently you didn’t hear about. Silent evidence — the evidence that we don’t or can’t easily choose to consider — is a term from Nicholas Nassim Talleb. When trying to discover the veracity of the planes story I enjoyed Bill Casselman’s American Mathematical Society article on The Legend of Abraham Wald. The postscript points to some of the source behind the story including a mention of Stephen Sigler’s letter in Nature quoted above. I covered survivorship bias before but like this story so much I thought it was worth doing again.

Survivorship Bias Plane, Survivorship Bias Plane

Are you suffering from survivorship bias, Growth Mindset

Survivorship Bias Plane, Survivorship Bias Plane

Mara Averick on X: Just discovered @sketchplanations, and I love it! (note: emphasis on cognitive bias mine) #sketchnotes / X

Survivorship bias - Sketchplanations

BOxD How Bias is Degrading Your DEI Strategy, and What to Do About It

Sketchplanations - A weekly explanation in a sketch

Mara Averick on X: Just discovered @sketchplanations, and I love it! (note: emphasis on cognitive bias mine) #sketchnotes / X

7 Lessons on Survivorship Bias that Will Help You Make Better Decisions - I DONE THIS
Critical Political

Optimism bias - Sketchplanations
Why aren't your managers managing?
Recomendado para você
-
Survivorship bias - Wikipedia05 abril 2025
-
Planes, Armor and Survivorship Bias05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship bias': : r/interestingasfuck05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias - Meaning, Example & How to Prevent It?05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias & Divorce - The Generous Husband05 abril 2025
-
Missing data? Survive Survivorship Bias with Qlik - Climber05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias in Web Performance05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship bias fe BrAs Survivorship bias or survival bias is05 abril 2025
-
Survivorship Bias05 abril 2025
-
What is Survivorship Bias? Definition, Examples, and More From05 abril 2025
você pode gostar
-
Camisa Xadrez Urgh Vinta - Rock City05 abril 2025
-
The Mageseeker: A League of Legends Story - Catholic Game Reviews05 abril 2025
-
Devil May Cry 5: Special Edition Review - Gaming Respawn05 abril 2025
-
Fortnite: Como funciona o modo Ranqueado; saiba tudo05 abril 2025
-
2023 will be the year : r/ARK05 abril 2025
-
Ele CONJUROU sua MAGIA MAIS PODEROSA para DERROTAR um DRAGÃO05 abril 2025
-
Alternates, Villains Wiki05 abril 2025
-
26 Style Alphabet Lore Plush Toys English Letter Stuffed Animal05 abril 2025
-
Farsi prossimo - Bompiani05 abril 2025
-
Agachamento sumo com halter05 abril 2025