All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…

AP Statistics: Chapter 5, Video #2 - Probability Models

PDF) What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League

NHL Coaches Are Pulling Goalies Earlier Than Ever

Ryan Brill (@RyanBrill_) / X

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

Thread by @EvolvingWild on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App

Perceptions of probability. : r/coolguides

Ben Rothman (@benrothman93) / X

What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League - IOS Press

All Models Are Wrong - Alteryx Community

PDF) What was lost? A causal estimate of fourth down behavior in the National Football League

Evaluating sports predictions against the market – StatsbyLopez

NFL fourth-down conversions, explained: Why teams go for it (and succeed) more than ever in 2020

Herding Cats: All Models Are Wrong